Trading Support and Resistance – 18 March 2018
This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:
Let’s take a look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:
Monthly Forecast March 2018
For the month of March, we forecasted that the best trades would be short USD/JPY and long EUR/USD. The performance to date is as follows:
Currency Pair |
Forecast Direction |
Interest Rate Differential |
Performance to Date |
EUR/USD |
Long ↑ |
-1.50% (0.00% – 1.50%) |
0.78% |
USD/JPY |
Short ↓ |
1.60% (1.50% – -0.10%) |
0.66% |
Weekly Forecast 18th March 2018
Last week, forecasted that the AUD/JPY and CAD/CHF currency crosses would both fall in value. AUD/JPY fell by 2.52% and CAD/CHF by 2.11% so it was a very effective and profitable weekly trade.
This week, we make no weekly forecast, as there were no strong counter-trend movements this week.
This week has been dominated by relative strength in the Japanese Yen, and relative weakness in the Canadian Dollar.
Volatility was the same as it was last week, with approximately 41% of the major or minor currency pairs changing in value by more than 1%. Volatility is likely to be higher next week.
You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.
Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs
We teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that should be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week, which might result in either reversals or breakouts:
Currency Pair |
Key Support / Resistance Levels |
AUD/USD |
Support: 0.7696, 0.7640, 0.7629, 0.7598 Resistance: 0.7773, 0.7804, 0.7851, 0.7935 |
EUR/USD |
Support: 1.2284, 1.2252, 1.2005, 1.1885 Resistance: 1.2292, 1.2347, 1.2385, 1.2436 |
GBP/USD |
Support: 1.3879, 1.3822, 1.3759, 1.3657 Resistance: 1.4168, 1.4330, 1.4435, 1.4514 |
USD/JPY |
Support: 105.82, 103.34, 100.03, 0.9886 Resistance: 106.37, 108.05, 109.76, 110.52 |
AUD/JPY |
Support: 81.50, 81.07, 80.62, 80.31 Resistance: 82.20, 82.70, 83.26, 83.60 |
EUR/JPY |
Support: 129.12, 128.40, 127.44, 126.48 Resistance: 130.49, 130.59, 131.00, 131.87 |
USD/CAD |
Support: 1.3072, 1.2960, 1.2909, 1.2890 Resistance: 1.3200, 1.3308, 1.3373, 1.3427 |
USD/CHF |
Support: 0.9488, 0.9423, 0.9327, 0.9318 Resistance: 0.9574, 0.9665, 0.9732, 0.9816 |
You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account to test the strategies and strengthen your self-confidence before investing real funds.
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