S&P 500 May Trade Higher on Sentiment

US 500: Retail trader data shows 40.5% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 1.47 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Apr 03 when US 500 traded near 2580.67; price has moved 5.1% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 2.0% lower than yesterday and 1.7% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 12.2% higher than yesterday and 31.0% higher from last week.

We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests US 500 prices may continue to rise. Traders are further net-short than yesterday and last week, and the combination of current sentiment and recent changes gives us a stronger US 500-bullish contrarian trading bias.

— Written by Dylan Jusino, DailyFX Research